Tuesday, November 23, 2010

The size of the stock market long-term effects of non-lifting of the ban will go bears!

 Personal opinion, not as a reference! Read before you see my | blog statement
piece of cake for words!
Market is always in the position of the emergence of a variety of stakeholders to find out hastily The reasons for the recent peace is to bear the brunt of high finance, led by then first despise about this peace, but peace without the shameless act, you can guarantee what no other company, what other conditions, a sign of trouble The market will still drop, the main reason of which the size of non-lifting of the ban I'm afraid, when the stock market when supply exceeds the amount of money, down is inevitable,cheap UGG boots, the higher up the only or the more fierce, and only so down to the size of the power of non-lifting of the ban is not so large, the market will gradually stabilize, long-term to improve,UGG shoes, which has not taken into account irrational exuberance on the inside, so when prices fell too.
first see two sets of data, from the SSE and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange official website.
2008-2-5
Shanghai Shenzhen
total market value (billion) total market value of 238,671.54 (million yuan) 55401.85
circulation market value (billion yuan) 63305.29 float market capitalization (billion yuan) 28064.03
average price-earnings ratio (times) 52.1 average price-earnings ratio (times) 64.13
2007 年 GDP (yuan) 246619
total market value (billion) accounted 294,073.39 119.24%
circulation than market value (billion) 91,369.32 37.05%
flow ratio of 31.07%
2008-3-13
Shanghai Shenzhen
total market value (billion) total market value of 207,539.81 (million ) 51598.24
float market capitalization (billion yuan) 59563.44 float market capitalization (billion yuan) 25738.94
average price-earnings ratio (times) 45.09 average price-earnings ratio (times) 51.4
2007 年 GDP (yuan) 246619
total market capitalization (billion) accounted for 105.08%
259,138.05 float market capitalization (million) 85,302.38 34.59%
flow ratio of 32.92%
First, we can see that after a month of the crash, the total market capitalization has been wiped out in recent four trillion, the total market value of the ratio of GDP last year, also fell 14 percent, the highest market value if the total 36 trillion, accounting for more than 150%, half have now largely down, but we look at the proportion of circulation, but also only 33% in less than two-thirds of that is there in the next two years into tradable shares, to increase the supply of look down the space is still there.
yesterday to see a company announcement, the 60 yuan is the reduction in the Ping An shares, lucrative,bailey UGG boots, because the cost would be more than one, what the concept, even if the peace below the issue price, they still remain the driving force reduction, and our retail, fund? you the cost and how much?
This is probably the management of our material is not like that, just that they just split share structure reform, when successful, the size of non-lifting of the ban may look back to the liberation of our stock market hit ago, overnight we found that our stock market to be the original stock,UGG boots clearance, after all the noise is still return to normal, at this point I fully doubt the wisdom of our management team.
first say Now eight did not affect things, so hurry to announce that last year you do, is that the leadership of the bar is a problem, just the idea of a not yet mature, there are norm-like look to announce it? play house ah!
some time ago out of our range of speech, Vice President, and not everyone can fry stocks. ha ha, now out of such language, in addition to the level he did not show, but also what can be revealed only shows that our management has also been or incoherent, and the rush of the decision-making for their own mistakes excuses, and then decline outward, not our incompetence, but your ignorance.
too talented!
so cool analysis, the long-term bullish our capital market, the medium-term is two to three years contribute much to our stock market will be the only true full circulation until the arrival of six months or a year later, the market will stabilize the real, then it could really welcome to our golden years.
the macro level that will not worry about our economy, our rapid growth will continue to step forward, our life will become better and better, if you are pessimistic, then this , then go to sleep wash Chengzao.
not rule out short-term management to be good index of the policy of kidnapping introduced, resulting in our stock market to take off again, and that is what we should pay more attention, because the higher flying, really throw, the more weight, the size of the stock market long-term effects of non-lifting of the ban will go bears! because for many people, 1 year has been a very long time.

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